November notebook: Solar noise + cereal toys
Daryl Smith, CFA, Head of Research (London)
A year ago, many financial news outlets predicted the US to have entered a recession by now. And yet here we are, with the US economy delivering a blockbuster 3Q GDP performance of 4.9%.
As it turns out, the US consumer is spending more than many thought.
My thoughts (somewhat predictably) go straight to ‘fine…but what data saw this coming?’