COVID-19: Measuring economic recovery using alt data
Julia Asri Meigh, Head of ESG and Macro Research (New York)
Following increased client interest, we highlight relevant datasets that can be used to measure the economic recovery of global markets. The Intelligence report places a focus on tracking the recovery of the US, EU, China, as well as countries that have yet to plateau in COVID-19 cases, such as India and Mexico.
SMALL BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Small to medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are some of the most important stakeholders in the global economy, accounting for 99.7% of registered businesses in the EU, over two-thirds of private sector job growth in the US, and 60% of China’s total GDP. As such, aggregated SME activity can serve as a useful indicator in measuring the impact and recovery of economies in the wake of COVID-19.
One approach investors can take to measure SME activity is monitoring the rate of business reopening and closures.